Sydney Real Estate
Most of our real estate investments consist of ownership in REIT equities. But as REIT investor, we have to be conscious of the fundamentals of the direct underlying markets.
Real estate bubbles have existed since the real estate became an asset class. Residential real estate is one area where it more prone to bubble tendencies due opportunities for retail participation.
Sydney house market has been very frothy and is one area we are keeping an eye on. Key indicator of potential weakness in the market includes decline in auction clearing rates. Currently it is hovering just below 90%, if it decline to 70% or 60% then it is a indicator of investor cautiousness in the market.
Housing affordability is the key victim of real estate bubbles. As asset prices gets out of control, potential home owners are priced out of the market or in some instance take on overwhelming debt to get a foot in the door.
They will benefit the most from collapse in asset prices. But on a net net basis, the overall economic impact is negative for the Australia economy.